本書結合十四五配電網規(guī)劃相關要求與山東省相關工作實踐，從配電網規(guī)劃方法、目標、策略、深度要求等方面對新形勢下配電網規(guī)劃相關內容進行了全面梳理，提出高效利用設備、精準預測負荷、科學確定發(fā)展重點、差異化制定目標、優(yōu)化規(guī)劃工作體系、推廣鄉(xiāng)村電網網格化規(guī)劃等山東省十四五配電網規(guī)劃
方法及策略。本書共分三篇十章，分別是配電網規(guī)劃重點篇、配電網規(guī)劃方法篇、配電網規(guī)劃策略篇。并附有配電網設
施空間布局規(guī)劃內容深度規(guī)定。
依據(jù)《配電網規(guī)劃設計技術導則》等技術標準和規(guī)范，緊扣新發(fā)展理念、國家重大戰(zhàn)略、高質量發(fā)展，從配電網發(fā)展趨勢及重點、配電網負荷預測及規(guī)劃、配電網設備效率提升、配電網精益投資、配電網適應國土空間規(guī)劃等維度開展專題研究，并在研究成果基礎上，總結提煉新形勢下山東省十四五配電網規(guī)劃方法及策略
前 言能源安全新戰(zhàn)略提出以來，清潔低碳、安全高效的能源體系穩(wěn)步發(fā)展，清潔化率、電氣化率等關鍵轉型指標顯著提升，電網在其中發(fā)揮了關鍵作用。2020年9 月，我國提出了碳達峰、碳中和的戰(zhàn)略目標。踐行雙碳戰(zhàn)略，能源是主戰(zhàn)場，電力是主力軍。電力作為清潔高效的二次能源，在未來人類文明將起到重要的能源載體作用，而未來的電網除了承擔電力安全可靠輸送，也將發(fā)展成為承載能源革命的基礎性平臺，對能源革命具有重大推動作用。配電網是電網的重要組成部分，是保障電力配得下、用得上的關鍵環(huán)節(jié)，配電網的發(fā)展直接決定未來電力獲得的質量，也間接影響能源革命的進程。因此亟需對配電網的發(fā)展趨勢進行研判，提前謀劃新形勢下十四五配電網重點發(fā)展方向和工作重點，深化細化十四五配電網規(guī)劃研究，助力新型電力系統(tǒng)建設與發(fā)展。為此，國網山東省電力公司發(fā)展策劃部、國網山東省電力公司經濟技術研究院依據(jù)《配電網規(guī)劃設計技術導則》等技術標準和規(guī)范，緊扣新發(fā)展理念、國家重大戰(zhàn)略、高質量發(fā)展，從配電網發(fā)展趨勢及重點、配電網負荷預測及規(guī)劃、配電網設備效率提升、配電網精益投資、配電網適應國土空間規(guī)劃等維度開展專題研究，并在研究成果基礎上，總結提煉新形勢下山東省十四五配電網規(guī)劃方法及策略，編制形成《山東配電網規(guī)劃指導手冊》，為配電網高質量發(fā)展做好支撐。編 者2022 年11 月
國網山東省電力公司是國家電網公司的全資子公司。本部設22個部門，下轄18家地市級供電企業(yè)、17家業(yè)務支撐單位和綜合單位，3家新興產業(yè)單位及98家縣供電公司，服務電力客戶4915萬。2020年，全省全社會用電量6939.85億千瓦時，公司完成售電量4126.9億千瓦時，同比增長3.96%。國網山東省電力公司發(fā)展策劃部是所屬一個部門。,國網山東省電力公司經濟技術研究院成立于2012年4月9日，是省公司電網發(fā)展和公司發(fā)展支撐單位，目前具備工程咨詢、工程設計雙甲資質，設有4個職能部室、3個中心和1個子公司。主要負責全省電網規(guī)劃和工程設計技術歸口管理；負責全省電網發(fā)展總體規(guī)劃和專項規(guī)劃的研究與編制；負責220～500千伏電網規(guī)劃的研究和編制；負責35千伏及以下電網規(guī)劃評審，指導市經研所具體編制110千伏及以下電網規(guī)劃并納入全省電網發(fā)展規(guī)劃和專項規(guī)劃；負責牽頭開展省內220～500千伏電網項目可研、電力設施遷改方案編制；負責110～220千伏電網項目可研、電力設施遷改方案、電源接入系統(tǒng)方案評審；承擔所轄35～220千伏（規(guī)模以下）電網項目初設評審和結算審核；負責省公司資本類、成本類項目的技經業(yè)務支撐；負責電網建設項目的工程質量監(jiān)督，負責定額站、質監(jiān)中心站日常管理；主要承接220千伏及以上電網項目設計；負責大修技改、營銷、信息通信、小型基建等項目造價咨詢和可研初設評審工作。
目 錄
前言
第一篇 配電網規(guī)劃重點 ····························································· 1
第一章 智慧配電網發(fā)展概述 ····························································· 2
第一節(jié) 智慧配電網國內外發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ················································· 2
第二節(jié) 智慧配電網的內涵特征和評估指標 ········································ 6
第三節(jié) 智慧配電網的發(fā)展框架與重點任務 ········································ 9
第四節(jié) 智慧配電網規(guī)劃示范工程 ··················································· 21
第二章 十四五配電網發(fā)展重點 ···················································· 24
第一節(jié) 配電網國內外發(fā)展情況分析 ················································ 24
第二節(jié) 配電網發(fā)展趨勢分析 ························································· 29
第三節(jié) 配電網發(fā)展原則 ······························································· 29
第四節(jié) 城農網發(fā)展建設重點 ························································· 31
第五節(jié) 分電壓等級建設重點 ························································· 33
第六節(jié) 分供電區(qū)域建設重點 ························································· 35
第二篇 配電網規(guī)劃方法······························································· 39
第三章 新形勢下配電網負荷預測 ······················································ 40
第一節(jié) 多元化負荷特性分析 ························································· 40
第二節(jié) 新形勢下配電網負荷預測方法 ············································· 45
第三節(jié) 多元化負荷接入配電網適應性分析 ······································· 62
第四章 鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略下網格化規(guī)劃 ··················································· 65
第一節(jié) 規(guī)劃總體思路 ·································································· 65
第二節(jié) 配電網分析指標體系構建 ·················································· 67
第三節(jié) 鄉(xiāng)村配電網網格劃分方法 ·················································· 71
第四節(jié) 基于鄉(xiāng)村負荷組的負荷預測方法 ········································· 75
第五節(jié) 鄉(xiāng)村中壓網架規(guī)劃方法 ····················································· 82
第三篇 配電網規(guī)劃策略 ···························································· 90
第五章 高壓配電網設備利用效率提升策略 ········································· 91
第一節(jié) 設備利用效率影響因素分析 ·············································· 91
第二節(jié) 設備最佳負載能力計算模型 ·············································· 93
第三節(jié) 設備利用效率指標評價體系 ············································· 100
第四節(jié) 優(yōu)化策略分析 ································································ 109
第六章 10kV 配電變壓器效率效益提升策略 ······································ 114
第一節(jié) 配電變壓器典型應用場景分類 ·········································· 114
第二節(jié) 典型應用場景的負荷特性分析 ·········································· 115
第三節(jié) 配電變壓器效率效益情況分析 ·········································· 120
第四節(jié) 配電變壓器的最優(yōu)效率效益測算 ······································· 127
第五節(jié) 配電變壓器運行效率效益提升策略 ···································· 139
第七章 配電網規(guī)劃投資分配優(yōu)化策略 ·············································· 146
第一節(jié) 投資規(guī)模影響因素 ························································· 146
第二節(jié) 分地區(qū)配電網規(guī)劃投資規(guī)模確定 ······································· 148
第三節(jié) 分電壓等級配電網規(guī)劃投資規(guī)模確定 ································· 152
第四節(jié) 項目投資優(yōu)選排序 ························································· 159
第五節(jié) 配電網規(guī)劃投資分配流程 ················································ 163
第八章 配電網規(guī)劃信息化建設策略 ················································· 164
第一節(jié) 配電網規(guī)劃信息化建設背景 ············································· 164
第二節(jié) 信息化建設總體技術路線 ················································ 165
第三節(jié) 信息化建設需求及技術實現(xiàn)路線 ······································· 166
第九章 新形勢下配電網規(guī)劃管理策略 ·············································· 174
第一節(jié) 國土空間規(guī)劃對配電網規(guī)劃的影響 ····································· 174
第二節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網規(guī)劃體系 ····································· 176
第三節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網規(guī)劃工作流程 ······························· 181
第四節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網工作機制 ····································· 185
第十章 配電網設施空間布局規(guī)劃內容深度規(guī)定 ································· 189
第一節(jié) 國土空間規(guī)劃對現(xiàn)有配電網設施布局規(guī)劃的影響 ·················· 189
第二節(jié) 配電網設施空間布局規(guī)劃總體策略 ····································· 190
第三節(jié) 配電網設施空間布局內容深度規(guī)定主要變化及優(yōu)勢 ··············· 193
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